What If Menopause Could Be Predicted?
Menopause is the cessation of menstruation. In other words, it is the end of fertility for women. It sets in when the number of eggs reaches the lowest count.
A woman’s body has several hundreds of thousands of eggs at birth. The number of eggs gets lower and lower while she ages, so that at menopause she is left with only about 1000.
Every woman is different, so every woman will experience menopause differently. Even the age when menopause starts varies. It could be anywhere between 45 to 55. Menopause occurs naturally, as a normal stage in life, or surgically, when ovaries are removed due to illness or other factors, through a procedure called hysterectomy.
What if you knew the exact age when you will stop being fertile? What difference would this make in your life?
Researchers now say they may be able to determine when the menopause starts, by measuring ovarian volume with trans vaginal ultrasound.
As a woman ages, the ovaries get smaller, and the number of eggs reduces dramatically. Obviously, there is a proportional relation between the volume of the ovaries and the number of eggs left in it. With mathematical and computer models, the scientists produce a formula to actually predict when a woman will stop being able to bear children.
This test could be the beginning of a new stage for women who can not conceive, for women treated for different cancers, actually for all women.
Now think about the fertility clinics. The overall success is still low, especially for women over 40. They have only 17 percent chance to get pregnant.
My conclusion is obvious. No woman should wait too long to plan babies, no matter how advanced the assisted reproductive technology is.
So should a 30 years old woman go for a test to figure out how many years of fertility she has left? Should she make career decisions based on this test? Is this test good enough to predict menopause?
The answer is NO to all these questions. You can definitely not go and tell someone to change their life based on a predictive test!
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